Polymarket Prices Iran-UAE Conflict at 53.5% — Here’s Why That Number Is a Trap
Polymarket just priced the probability of an Iran-UAE military confrontation ...
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Fear
Market Sentiment
Block reward reduced to 3.125 BTC
Circulating supply increases by about 2%
Independent validator client goes live on mainnet
Raises validator limit and account abstraction
Block reward halving event
92 million ARB released
Improves data availability sampling efficiency
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Bitcoin Season
| # | Coin | Price |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bitcoin
BTC
|
$64,891.3 |
| 1 |
Ethereum
ETH
|
$1,873.09 |
| 1 |
Solana
SOL
|
$76.38 |
| 1 |
BNB Chain
BNB
|
$571.7 |
| 1 |
XRP Ledger
XRP
|
$1.1 |
| 1 |
Dogecoin
DOGE
|
$0.0728 |
| 1 |
Cardano
ADA
|
$0.1683 |
| 1 |
Avalanche
AVAX
|
$6.62 |
| 1 |
Polkadot
DOT
|
$0.8378 |
| 1 |
Chainlink
LINK
|
$8.38 |